Match data

Value betting model

Harju Jalgpallikool

2026/06/20 11:30

- : -

Nõmme United

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Soccer Match Preview: Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Nomme United (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.19

PPG

0.5

Last 6 PPG

0.5

1.25

Home/away PPG

0.88

3.45

xG overall

3.46

3.66

Home/away xG overall

3.25

1.48

xG for per game

1.45

1.97

xG against per game

2.01

1.57

Home/away xG for per game

1.27

2.09

Home/away xG against per game

1.98

Last X

Home wins

(57%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(43%)

2026/04/18

1:2

2025/10/30

0:1

2024/08/14

3:0

2022/10/22

5:1

2022/09/04

3:1

2022/04/28

4:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	16	13	3	0	44	12	32	42	3.00^0.37	1.31	36.93^7.07	16.58^4.58
2	Tallinna FC Flora	15	10	0	5	32	16	16	30	2.50^0.50	1.38	31.24^0.76	18.94^2.94
3	Nõmme Kalju	16	9	2	5	28	13	15	29	1.17^-0.64	1.41	28.76^-0.76	20.62^7.62
4	Paide	16	7	4	5	24	20	4	25	1.33^-0.23	1.43	24.94^-0.94	24.66^4.66
5	Tammeka	15	6	2	7	17	20	-3	20	2.17^0.84	1.46	23.92^-6.92	25.02^5.02
6	Vaprus	16	6	2	8	20	31	-11	20	1.67^0.42	1.47	17.51^2.49	29.63^-1.37
7	Harju Jalgpallikool	16	6	1	9	20	27	-7	19	0.50^-0.69	1.47	23.65^-3.65	31.44^4.44
8	Kuressaare	16	5	2	9	17	26	-9	17	1.33^0.27	1.49	22.36^-5.36	33.01^7.01
9	Nõmme United	16	5	1	10	30	39	-9	16	0.50^-0.50	1.50	23.20^6.80	32.08^-6.92
10	Trans	16	3	1	12	11	39	-28	10	0.67^0.04	1.54	26.27^-15.27	26.80^-12.20
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
1.5	Avg goals for/against	1.25
1.5	Avg goals against/for	2.75
3	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.50)	4
88%	Scoring rate	100%
63%	Conceding rate	88%
38%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
13%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	13%
25%	Scored in both halves (25.0%)	25%
63%	Scored first	38%
25%	Leading/Losing at half-time (19.0%)	13%
13%	Losing/Leading at half-time (31.5%)	50%
3.63	Avg corners for/against	4.75
8.25	Avg corners against/for	5.38
11.88	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.01)	10.13
6.13	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.56)	3
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
88%	GF+GA over 1.5 (94.0%)	100%
63%	GF+GA over 2.5 (75.5%)	88%
38%	GF+GA over 3.5 (44.0%)	50%
13%	GF+GA over 4.5 (19.0%)	25%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (6.5%)	13%
50%	Both teams scored (69.0%)	88%
75%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (81.5%)	88%
38%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (50.5%)	63%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.5%)	13%
75%	Over 7.5 total corners (87.5%)	100%
63%	Over 8.5 total corners (75.5%)	88%
63%	Over 9.5 total corners (56.5%)	50%
63%	Over 10.5 total corners (50.5%)	38%
50%	Over 11.5 total corners (44.0%)	38%
50%	Over 12.5 total corners (25.0%)	0%
38%	Over 13.5 total corners (19.0%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
1 (2)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
1 (2)	No win	0 (1)
4 (8)	No draw	6 (12)
0 (0)	No defeat	1 (0)
5(0)	1 goal scored or more	7(2)
1(2)	1 goal conceded or more	8(16)
0(1)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
3(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	6(12)
0(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
2(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(0)
1(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



5/8 (63%)	Scored first, home/away	3/8 (38%)
8/16 (50%)	Scored first, overall	6/16 (38%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source1 matches3 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after