Match data

Value betting model

Tallinna FC Levadia

2026/06/28 16:00

- : -

Tallinna FC Flora

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Soccer Match Preview: Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

2.53

PPG

1.88

2.67

Last 6 PPG

2.25

Home/away PPG

1.88

3.36

xG overall

3.42

3.11

Home/away xG overall

3.36

2.33

xG for per game

2.11

1.03

xG against per game

1.31

2.14

Home/away xG for per game

2.20

0.97

Home/away xG against per game

1.16

Last X

Home wins

(36%)

Draws

(30%)

Away wins

(34%)

2026/06/13

1:3

2026/04/19

4:0

2025/10/29

3:1

2025/09/24

2:3

2025/09/17

1:3

2025/05/18

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	17	13	4	0	45	13	32	43	2.67^0.14	1.32	39.68^5.32	17.53^4.53
2	Nõmme Kalju	17	9	3	5	29	14	15	30	1.33^-0.43	1.41	29.70^-0.70	23.37^9.37
3	Tallinna FC Flora	16	10	0	6	33	18	15	30	2.00^0.12	1.40	33.75^-0.75	20.92^2.92
4	Paide	17	8	4	5	26	21	5	28	1.33^-0.32	1.42	26.91^-0.91	27.16^6.16
5	Tammeka	16	7	2	7	18	20	-2	23	2.17^0.73	1.44	25.77^-7.77	25.89^5.89
6	Vaprus	17	7	2	8	21	31	-10	23	1.67^0.32	1.45	18.52^2.48	31.46^0.46
7	Nõmme United	17	6	1	10	33	40	-7	19	1.00^-0.12	1.48	24.58^8.42	33.70^-6.30
8	Harju Jalgpallikool	17	6	1	10	21	30	-9	19	0.50^-0.62	1.48	25.28^-4.28	32.82^2.82
9	Kuressaare	17	5	2	10	17	27	-10	17	1.33^0.33	1.49	24.19^-7.19	34.02^7.02
10	Trans	17	3	1	13	11	40	-29	10	0.67^0.08	1.54	27.14^-16.14	28.65^-11.35
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
2.75	Avg goals for/against	1.63
0.63	Avg goals against/for	1.38
3.38	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.19)	3
100%	Scoring rate	63%
50%	Conceding rate	75%
50%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	38%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
75%	Scored in both halves (56.5%)	38%
75%	Scored first	38%
63%	Leading/Losing at half-time (44.0%)	25%
0%	Losing/Leading at half-time (12.5%)	25%
6.13	Avg corners for/against	9.63
2.75	Avg corners against/for	2.88
8.88	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.70)	12.51
3.5	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.31)	5.13
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
100%	GF+GA over 1.5 (94.0%)	88%
63%	GF+GA over 2.5 (69.0%)	75%
38%	GF+GA over 3.5 (38.0%)	38%
13%	GF+GA over 4.5 (6.5%)	0%
13%	GF+GA over 5.5 (6.5%)	0%
50%	Both teams scored (44.0%)	38%
75%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (69.0%)	63%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (44.0%)	38%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.5%)	0%
63%	Over 7.5 total corners (75.5%)	88%
50%	Over 8.5 total corners (69.0%)	88%
50%	Over 9.5 total corners (69.0%)	88%
50%	Over 10.5 total corners (69.0%)	88%
38%	Over 11.5 total corners (56.5%)	75%
13%	Over 12.5 total corners (25.5%)	38%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (19.0%)	38%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	5 (0)
1 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
1 (1)	No win	0 (1)
0 (0)	No draw	8 (16)
8 (17)	No defeat	5 (0)
8(17)	1 goal scored or more	5(9)
1(3)	1 goal conceded or more	1(3)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	3(5)
1(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	3(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



6/8 (75%)	Scored first, home/away	3/8 (38%)
12/17 (71%)	Scored first, overall	10/16 (63%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source53 matches146 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.3

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.75

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.45

Exp goals after