Match data

Value betting model

Harju Jalgpallikool

2026/07/19 16:00

- : -

Paide

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.16

PPG

1.68

Last 6 PPG

1.3

Home/away PPG

1.6

3.37

xG overall

3.19

3.55

Home/away xG overall

3.36

1.50

xG for per game

1.62

1.87

xG against per game

1.57

1.62

Home/away xG for per game

1.73

1.93

Home/away xG against per game

1.63

Last X

Home wins

(10%)

Draws

(20%)

Away wins

(70%)

2026/06/17

1:0

2026/04/22

2:2

2025/09/20

3:0

2025/08/03

2:0

2025/05/17

2:2

2025/04/12

1:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	19	14	4	1	49	16	33	46	2.17^-0.25	1.34	43.79^5.21	19.99^3.99
2	Tallinna FC Flora	19	12	0	7	39	21	18	36	1.50^-0.39	1.40	39.52^-0.52	25.73^4.73
3	Nõmme Kalju	19	10	4	5	33	16	17	34	1.00^-0.79	1.41	33.59^-0.59	26.49^10.49
4	Paide	19	9	5	5	30	23	7	32	2.00^0.32	1.42	30.70^-0.70	29.83^6.83
5	Tammeka	18	8	2	8	21	26	-5	26	1.67^0.23	1.45	28.87^-7.87	28.74^2.74
6	Vaprus	20	8	2	10	28	38	-10	26	1.17^-0.13	1.46	22.88^5.12	37.03^-0.97
7	Nõmme United	20	8	1	11	39	46	-7	25	2.00^0.75	1.47	29.90^9.10	39.59^-6.41
8	Harju Jalgpallikool	19	7	1	11	25	32	-7	22	1.00^-0.16	1.48	28.56^-3.56	35.47^3.47
9	Kuressaare	19	5	2	12	19	33	-14	17	0.83^-0.06	1.51	27.10^-8.10	38.23^5.23
10	Trans	20	4	1	15	15	47	-32	13	0.67^0.02	1.54	30.69^-15.69	34.52^-12.48
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
10	Played	10
1.6	Avg goals for/against	1.8
1.5	Avg goals against/for	1.4
3.1	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.15)	3.2
90%	Scoring rate	90%
60%	Conceding rate	90%
40%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	10%
10%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	10%
30%	Scored in both halves (40.0%)	50%
70%	Scored first	40%
40%	Leading/Losing at half-time (30.0%)	20%
10%	Losing/Leading at half-time (10.0%)	10%
4.4	Avg corners for/against	4.1
6.9	Avg corners against/for	5.3
11.3	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.35)	9.4
5.4	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.05)	4.7
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
90%	GF+GA over 1.5 (85.0%)	80%
70%	GF+GA over 2.5 (65.0%)	60%
40%	GF+GA over 3.5 (45.0%)	50%
10%	GF+GA over 4.5 (20.0%)	30%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
50%	Both teams scored (65.0%)	80%
80%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (70.0%)	60%
40%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (45.0%)	50%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (5.0%)	10%
70%	Over 7.5 total corners (75.0%)	80%
60%	Over 8.5 total corners (55.0%)	50%
60%	Over 9.5 total corners (55.0%)	50%
60%	Over 10.5 total corners (50.0%)	40%
50%	Over 11.5 total corners (40.0%)	30%
40%	Over 12.5 total corners (30.0%)	20%
30%	Over 13.5 total corners (15.0%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	1 (0)
6 (11)	No draw	0 (1)
1 (1)	No defeat	3 (6)
7(3)	1 goal scored or more	3(6)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	7(3)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
1(1)	No goal conceded	0(0)
5(3)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(1)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(0)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



7/10 (70%)	Scored first, home/away	4/10 (40%)
11/19 (58%)	Scored first, overall	11/19 (58%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source10 matches24 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.8

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.4

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.6

Exp goals after