2026/07/04 16:00

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AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Paide vs Parnu JK Vaprus (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A clash between 4th-placed Paide and 6th-placed Parnu JK Vaprus

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.61

PPG

1.35

1.5

Last 6 PPG

1.67

1.63

Home/away PPG

1.25

3.19

xG overall

2.94

2.96

Home/away xG overall

2.91

1.59

xG for per game

1.09

1.60

xG against per game

1.85

1.41

Home/away xG for per game

0.93

1.55

Home/away xG against per game

1.98

Last X

Home wins

(66%)

Draws

(20%)

Away wins

(14%)

2026/05/06

2:0

2026/03/07

3:2

2025/11/02

3:0

2025/08/30

1:0

2025/06/18

1:2

2025/04/09

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	18	13	4	1	46	15	31	43	2.17^-0.22	1.32	41.61^4.39	19.44^4.44
2	Tallinna FC Flora	18	12	0	6	38	19	19	36	2.00^0.00	1.36	37.42^0.58	24.30^5.30
3	Nõmme Kalju	19	10	4	5	33	16	17	34	1.00^-0.72	1.40	33.22^-0.22	26.38^10.38
4	Paide	18	8	5	5	27	22	5	29	1.50^-0.11	1.41	28.59^-1.59	28.73^6.73
5	Tammeka	16	7	2	7	18	20	-2	23	2.17^0.73	1.43	25.77^-7.77	25.89^5.89
6	Vaprus	17	7	2	8	21	31	-10	23	1.67^0.32	1.44	18.52^2.48	31.46^0.46
7	Harju Jalgpallikool	17	6	1	10	21	30	-9	19	0.50^-0.62	1.46	25.28^-4.28	32.82^2.82
8	Nõmme United	18	6	1	11	34	43	-9	19	1.00^-0.12	1.46	25.85^8.15	35.53^-7.47
9	Kuressaare	18	5	2	11	17	30	-13	17	1.33^0.39	1.48	25.52^-8.52	35.72^5.72
10	Trans	17	3	1	13	11	40	-29	10	0.67^0.08	1.52	27.14^-16.14	28.65^-11.35
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
1.13	Avg goals for/against	1
1	Avg goals against/for	1.88
2.13	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.50)	2.88
88%	Scoring rate	75%
63%	Conceding rate	75%
38%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	25%
13%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
13%	Scored in both halves (13.0%)	13%
75%	Scored first	38%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (31.5%)	13%
13%	Losing/Leading at half-time (19.0%)	25%
4.25	Avg corners for/against	3.38
6	Avg corners against/for	6.63
10.25	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.13)	10.01
5.13	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.88)	4.63
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (94.0%)	88%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 (62.5%)	75%
38%	GF+GA over 2.5 (50.5%)	63%
25%	GF+GA over 3.5 (19.0%)	13%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (6.5%)	13%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (6.5%)	13%
50%	Both teams scored (56.5%)	63%
63%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (63.0%)	63%
13%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (31.5%)	50%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (13.0%)	13%
100%	Over 7.5 total corners (87.5%)	75%
75%	Over 8.5 total corners (75.0%)	75%
50%	Over 9.5 total corners (56.5%)	63%
38%	Over 10.5 total corners (44.0%)	50%
25%	Over 11.5 total corners (31.5%)	38%
13%	Over 12.5 total corners (19.0%)	25%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (6.5%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (1)	No win	1 (0)
1 (0)	No draw	0 (2)
2 (5)	No defeat	4 (1)
3(5)	1 goal scored or more	0(2)
0(2)	1 goal conceded or more	0(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(0)
1(0)	No goal conceded	1(1)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
2(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(1)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



6/8 (75%)	Scored first, home/away	3/8 (38%)
10/18 (56%)	Scored first, overall	8/17 (47%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source28 matches87 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.11

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.11

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after