Match data

Value betting model

Trans

2026/07/04 16:00

- : -

Tallinna FC Levadia

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Match Preview: Trans vs Tallinna FC Levadia (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.59

PPG

2.39

0.67

Last 6 PPG

2.17

1.13

Home/away PPG

2.78

3.29

xG overall

3.39

3.47

Home/away xG overall

3.59

1.60

xG for per game

2.31

1.69

xG against per game

1.08

1.87

Home/away xG for per game

2.51

1.60

Home/away xG against per game

1.08

Last X

Home wins

(7%)

Draws

(20%)

Away wins

(73%)

2026/04/26

7:0

2025/11/02

0:4

2025/08/29

3:1

2025/06/27

2:1

2025/05/14

1:0

2025/04/05

0:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	18	13	4	1	46	15	31	43	2.17^-0.22	1.32	41.61^4.39	19.44^4.44
2	Tallinna FC Flora	18	12	0	6	38	19	19	36	2.00^0.00	1.36	37.42^0.58	24.30^5.30
3	Nõmme Kalju	19	10	4	5	33	16	17	34	1.00^-0.72	1.40	33.22^-0.22	26.38^10.38
4	Paide	18	8	5	5	27	22	5	29	1.50^-0.11	1.41	28.59^-1.59	28.73^6.73
5	Tammeka	16	7	2	7	18	20	-2	23	2.17^0.73	1.43	25.77^-7.77	25.89^5.89
6	Vaprus	17	7	2	8	21	31	-10	23	1.67^0.32	1.44	18.52^2.48	31.46^0.46
7	Harju Jalgpallikool	17	6	1	10	21	30	-9	19	0.50^-0.62	1.46	25.28^-4.28	32.82^2.82
8	Nõmme United	18	6	1	11	34	43	-9	19	1.00^-0.12	1.46	25.85^8.15	35.53^-7.47
9	Kuressaare	18	5	2	11	17	30	-13	17	1.33^0.39	1.48	25.52^-8.52	35.72^5.72
10	Trans	17	3	1	13	11	40	-29	10	0.67^0.08	1.52	27.14^-16.14	28.65^-11.35
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	9
1.13	Avg goals for/against	2.56
1.63	Avg goals against/for	0.89
2.75	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.09)	3.44
75%	Scoring rate	89%
75%	Conceding rate	100%
25%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	11%
25%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	0%
25%	Scored in both halves (40.5%)	56%
25%	Scored first	67%
13%	Leading/Losing at half-time (28.5%)	44%
50%	Losing/Leading at half-time (30.5%)	11%
6.5	Avg corners for/against	9.67
5.63	Avg corners against/for	2.78
12.13	Avg total corners (F+A) (12.29)	12.45
4.13	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.46)	4.78
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
88%	GF+GA over 1.5 (88.5%)	89%
88%	GF+GA over 2.5 (83.0%)	78%
0%	GF+GA over 3.5 (22.0%)	44%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (5.5%)	11%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (5.5%)	11%
50%	Both teams scored (69.5%)	89%
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (83.0%)	78%
75%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (59.5%)	44%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (11.0%)	22%
100%	Over 7.5 total corners (100.0%)	100%
100%	Over 8.5 total corners (94.5%)	89%
75%	Over 9.5 total corners (82.0%)	89%
63%	Over 10.5 total corners (65.0%)	67%
63%	Over 11.5 total corners (53.5%)	44%
50%	Over 12.5 total corners (41.5%)	33%
25%	Over 13.5 total corners (29.0%)	33%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	7 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
1 (1)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
1 (4)	No win	0 (2)
8 (1)	No draw	7 (1)
0 (0)	No defeat	9 (0)
2(0)	1 goal scored or more	9(18)
1(1)	1 goal conceded or more	2(4)
0(2)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
1(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	2(1)
0(2)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	2(0)
1(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



2/8 (25%)	Scored first, home/away	6/9 (67%)
4/17 (24%)	Scored first, overall	13/18 (72%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source52 matches157 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.54

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.02

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.48

Exp goals after