Match data

Value betting model

Sogdiana

2026/04/28 14:00

5:2

Termez Surkhon

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Soccer Match Preview: Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.67

PPG

1.22

1.17

Last 6 PPG

0.83

0.25

Home/away PPG

2.84

xG overall

2.65

3.20

Home/away xG overall

2.46

1.35

xG for per game

1.25

1.49

xG against per game

1.40

1.63

Home/away xG for per game

1.03

1.57

Home/away xG against per game

1.43

Last X

Home wins

(25%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(75%)

2025/10/17

2:1

2025/05/16

2:1

2024/11/01

2:4

2024/05/31

1:0

2023/12/01

0:2

2023/06/23

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Neftchi	11	9	1	1	25	3	22	28	2.17^-0.38	1.29	20.69^4.31	10.32^7.32
2	Pakhtakor	11	8	2	1	22	12	10	26	2.33^-0.03	1.29	17.09^4.91	12.40^0.40
3	Buxoro	11	6	2	3	15	11	4	20	1.67^-0.15	1.23	15.21^-0.21	15.47^4.47
4	Navbahor	10	6	1	3	14	8	6	19	2.17^0.27	1.26	17.44^-3.44	11.30^3.30
5	Bunyodkor	11	6	1	4	13	11	2	19	1.50^-0.23	1.26	13.32^-0.32	19.02^8.02
6	AGMK	11	4	4	3	14	14	0	16	2.00^0.55	1.52	15.24^-1.24	16.55^2.55
7	Lokomotiv	10	4	2	4	13	14	0	14	1.17^-0.23	1.33	18.32^-5.32	13.97^-0.03
8	Andijan	10	4	1	5	13	11	5	13	1.17^-0.13	1.30	14.84^-1.84	11.55^0.55
9	Nasaf	10	3	4	3	12	11	1	13	1.00^-0.30	1.50	13.27^-1.27	14.03^3.03
10	Xorazm	10	3	4	3	9	10	-4	13	1.50^0.20	1.35	10.79^-1.79	15.99^5.99
11	Qizilqum	10	4	1	5	8	14	-7	13	1.17^-0.13	1.37	12.92^-4.92	14.70^0.70
12	Termez Surkhon	11	3	3	5	11	18	-7	12	0.83^-0.26	1.51	13.16^-2.16	17.09^-0.91
13	Dinamo Samarqand	11	3	2	6	17	21	-4	11	1.17^0.17	1.40	16.19^0.81	15.24^-5.76
14	Kokand-1912	11	2	5	4	10	15	-5	11	1.00^0.00	1.62	12.91^-2.91	15.50^0.50
15	Sogdiana	11	2	3	6	19	25	-6	9	1.17^0.35	1.48	16.00^3.00	16.11^-8.89
16	Mash'al	11	0	0	11	4	21	-17	0	0.00^0.00	1.61	11.30^-7.30	19.45^-1.55
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
4	Played	4
1.5	Avg goals for/against	0.75
2.75	Avg goals against/for	1.5
4.25	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.25)	2.25
75%	Scoring rate	75%
100%	Conceding rate	75%
0%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	25%
25%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
25%	Scored in both halves (12.5%)	0%
75%	Scored first	25%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (25.0%)	0%
25%	Losing/Leading at half-time (50.0%)	75%
4.25	Avg corners for/against	3.75
5.25	Avg corners against/for	4.75
9.5	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.00)	8.5
3	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.00)	3
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
100%	GF+GA over 1.5 (87.5%)	75%
75%	GF+GA over 2.5 (50.0%)	25%
75%	GF+GA over 3.5 (50.0%)	25%
50%	GF+GA over 4.5 (25.0%)	0%
25%	GF+GA over 5.5 (12.5%)	0%
75%	Both teams scored (62.5%)	50%
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (87.5%)	75%
100%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (50.0%)	0%
25%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (12.5%)	0%
75%	Over 7.5 total corners (50.0%)	25%
75%	Over 8.5 total corners (50.0%)	25%
50%	Over 9.5 total corners (37.5%)	25%
25%	Over 10.5 total corners (25.0%)	25%
25%	Over 11.5 total corners (25.0%)	25%
25%	Over 12.5 total corners (25.0%)	25%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (12.5%)	25%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
1 (0)	Consecutive defeats	1 (0)
4 (2)	No win	2 (0)
1 (0)	No draw	1 (3)
0 (1)	No defeat	0 (1)
4(9)	1 goal scored or more	1(3)
5(11)	1 goal conceded or more	3(7)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
4(2)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
4(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(0)
5(2)	2 goals conceded or more	2(0)

Opening goals



3/4 (75%)	Scored first, home/away	1/4 (25%)
7/9 (78%)	Scored first, overall	2/9 (22%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source8 matches23 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.13

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.88

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.75

Exp goals after