2026/06/09 22:00

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AI match insights

Match Preview: Náutico vs Fortaleza (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A clash of contrasting form between home strength and away struggles

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.73

PPG

1.64

2.17

Last 6 PPG

1.33

1.8

Home/away PPG

0.83

2.75

xG overall

2.71

2.58

Home/away xG overall

2.88

1.65

xG for per game

1.39

1.10

xG against per game

1.32

1.73

Home/away xG for per game

1.29

0.85

Home/away xG against per game

1.59

Last X

Home wins

(0%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(75%)

2023/02/26

2:1

2022/03/26

2:0

2022/02/12

2:2

2020/03/14

0:3

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	São Bernardo	12	7	3	2	20	10	10	24	2.33^0.33	1.18	14.63^5.37	19.77^9.77
2	Sport Recife	11	6	4	1	15	7	8	22	2.50^0.50	1.16	13.99^1.01	16.47^9.47
3	Vila Nova	11	6	4	1	17	11	6	22	1.83^-0.17	1.16	16.43^0.57	13.12^2.12
4	Criciúma	12	5	5	2	14	10	4	20	1.67^0.00	1.28	17.24^-3.24	16.15^6.15
5	Náutico	11	6	1	4	16	11	5	19	2.17^0.44	1.30	18.19^-2.19	12.12^1.12
6	Operário PR	12	5	4	3	14	15	-1	19	1.67^0.09	1.39	16.95^-2.95	17.67^2.67
7	Fortaleza	11	5	3	3	14	11	3	18	1.33^-0.31	1.32	15.28^-1.28	14.56^3.56
8	Novorizontino	11	4	5	2	14	11	3	17	1.50^-0.05	1.20	16.26^-2.26	12.63^1.63
9	Athletic Club	11	4	5	2	13	11	2	17	1.50^-0.05	1.29	12.18^0.82	18.60^7.60
10	Goiás	11	5	2	4	12	13	-1	17	1.67^0.12	1.25	13.55^-1.55	14.95^1.95
11	Juventude	12	4	4	4	10	8	2	16	1.00^-0.33	1.31	15.56^-5.56	16.73^8.73
12	CRB	12	4	2	6	19	20	-1	14	2.00^0.83	1.40	23.07^-4.07	15.58^-4.42
13	Cuiabá	11	2	7	2	6	5	1	13	1.17^-0.01	1.50	13.90^-7.90	11.81^6.81
14	Atlético GO	11	3	4	4	10	11	-1	13	1.50^0.32	1.41	15.49^-5.49	15.30^4.30
15	Ceará	11	3	4	4	12	13	-1	13	0.67^-0.51	1.48	17.02^-5.02	14.81^1.81
16	Botafogo SP	11	2	4	5	11	11	0	10	0.50^-0.41	1.37	15.57^-4.57	13.42^2.42
17	Avaí	11	2	4	5	11	15	-4	10	0.33^-0.58	1.49	14.69^-3.69	16.56^1.56
18	Londrina	12	2	2	8	12	20	-8	8	0.50^-0.17	1.53	14.49^-2.49	19.15^-0.85
19	Ponte Preta	11	2	2	7	9	20	-11	8	0.67^-0.06	1.31	14.27^-5.27	20.47^0.47
20	América Mineiro	11	0	3	8	6	22	-16	3	0.17^-0.10	1.50	16.82^-10.82	15.70^-6.30
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
5	Played	6
1.2	Avg goals for/against	0.33
0.8	Avg goals against/for	1.17
2	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (1.75)	1.5
60%	Scoring rate	50%
40%	Conceding rate	33%
60%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	50%
40%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	67%
20%	Scored in both halves (10.0%)	0%
60%	Scored first	33%
20%	Leading/Losing at half-time (18.5%)	17%
20%	Losing/Leading at half-time (18.5%)	17%
9.6	Avg corners for/against	5.17
3.4	Avg corners against/for	6.33
13	Avg total corners (F+A) (12.25)	11.5
7	Avg total cards (F+A) (6.25)	5.5
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (83.5%)	67%
40%	GF+GA over 1.5 (36.5%)	33%
40%	GF+GA over 2.5 (36.5%)	33%
20%	GF+GA over 3.5 (18.5%)	17%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (0.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
0%	Both teams scored (8.5%)	17%
40%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (36.5%)	33%
20%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (18.5%)	17%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (8.5%)	17%
60%	Over 7.5 total corners (71.5%)	83%
60%	Over 8.5 total corners (71.5%)	83%
60%	Over 9.5 total corners (63.5%)	67%
60%	Over 10.5 total corners (55.0%)	50%
60%	Over 11.5 total corners (55.0%)	50%
40%	Over 12.5 total corners (36.5%)	33%
40%	Over 13.5 total corners (36.5%)	33%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	2 (1)
0 (1)	No win	4 (1)
5 (4)	No draw	2 (3)
2 (0)	No defeat	0 (0)
2(0)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
0(1)	1 goal conceded or more	2(1)
0(1)	No goal scored	1(1)
2(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
1(2)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(1)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



3/5 (60%)	Scored first, home/away	2/6 (33%)
4/11 (36%)	Scored first, overall	5/11 (45%)