Match data

Value betting model

Žalgiris

2026/06/12 17:00

3:2

Trakai

AI match insights

Match Preview: Žalgiris vs Trakai (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A mismatch in the A Lyga landscape

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.38

PPG

0.2

1.67

Last 6 PPG

1.25

Home/away PPG

0.13

2.86

xG overall

2.84

2.92

Home/away xG overall

2.57

1.54

xG for per game

0.95

1.32

xG against per game

1.89

1.53

Home/away xG for per game

0.94

1.39

Home/away xG against per game

1.63

Last X

Home wins

(55%)

Draws

(27%)

Away wins

(18%)

2026/04/10

0:0

2025/09/19

0:2

2025/08/17

2:1

2025/05/09

2:0

2025/03/07

3:3

2023/09/17

2:6

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Džiugas Telšiai	17	10	3	4	29	19	10	33	2.17^0.23	1.27	22.00^7.00	18.64^-0.36
2	TransINVEST Vilnius	17	9	4	4	31	19	12	31	1.83^0.01	1.28	25.45^5.55	20.18^1.18
3	Kauno Žalgiris	16	8	5	3	34	13	21	29	0.67^-1.14	1.28	28.35^5.65	17.37^4.37
4	Sūduva	17	6	8	3	23	13	10	26	1.67^0.14	1.31	24.94^-1.94	21.31^8.31
5	Žalgiris	17	7	4	6	24	20	4	25	1.67^0.20	1.32	26.22^-2.22	22.45^2.45
6	Banga	17	6	6	5	22	13	9	24	1.50^0.09	1.33	24.34^-2.34	20.62^7.62
7	Panevėžys	16	5	3	8	15	27	-12	18	1.17^0.04	1.36	18.58^-3.58	25.95^-1.05
8	Hegelmann Litauen	16	3	8	5	17	24	-7	17	1.33^0.27	1.37	18.82^-1.82	23.83^-0.17
9	FA Šiauliai	17	3	8	6	17	27	-10	17	1.00^0.00	1.37	23.02^-6.02	27.10^0.10
10	Trakai	16	0	3	13	5	42	-37	3	0.00^-0.19	1.46	15.68^-10.68	29.95^-12.05
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
1.63	Avg goals for/against	0.13
1.75	Avg goals against/for	2.75
3.38	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.13)	2.88
88%	Scoring rate	88%
88%	Conceding rate	13%
13%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	13%
13%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	88%
38%	Scored in both halves (19.0%)	0%
50%	Scored first	0%
25%	Leading/Losing at half-time (12.5%)	0%
38%	Losing/Leading at half-time (56.5%)	75%
5	Avg corners for/against	4.38
3.75	Avg corners against/for	5.38
8.75	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.25)	9.76
3.88	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.63)	3.38
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (94.0%)	88%
88%	GF+GA over 1.5 (81.5%)	75%
75%	GF+GA over 2.5 (69.0%)	63%
50%	GF+GA over 3.5 (44.0%)	38%
25%	GF+GA over 4.5 (25.0%)	25%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
75%	Both teams scored (44.0%)	13%
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (87.5%)	75%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (50.0%)	50%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (19.0%)	25%
38%	Over 7.5 total corners (56.5%)	75%
25%	Over 8.5 total corners (50.0%)	75%
25%	Over 9.5 total corners (44.0%)	63%
25%	Over 10.5 total corners (37.5%)	50%
25%	Over 11.5 total corners (25.0%)	25%
25%	Over 12.5 total corners (12.5%)	0%
25%	Over 13.5 total corners (12.5%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
1 (0)	Consecutive defeats	3 (6)
1 (0)	No win	8 (15)
2 (3)	No draw	3 (6)
0 (1)	No defeat	0 (0)
4(3)	1 goal scored or more	1(1)
6(1)	1 goal conceded or more	4(7)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
3(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	1(1)
2(1)	2 goals conceded or more	2(3)

Opening goals



4/8 (50%)	Scored first, home/away	0/8
8/16 (50%)	Scored first, overall	2/15 (13%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source48 matches125 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.75

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.6

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.85

Exp goals after