Match data

Value betting model

Tobol

2026/06/13 11:00

2:0

Kyzyl-Zhar

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Football Match Preview: Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.75

PPG

1.25

1.17

Last 6 PPG

0.67

1.6

Home/away PPG

2.96

xG overall

2.48

3.29

Home/away xG overall

2.40

1.44

xG for per game

1.17

1.52

xG against per game

1.31

1.68

Home/away xG for per game

1.06

1.61

Home/away xG against per game

1.34

Last X

Home wins

(76%)

Draws

(12%)

Away wins

(12%)

2025/08/02

0:2

2025/05/04

2:1

2024/08/11

1:2

2024/03/31

0:0

2023/09/27

1:1

2023/06/03

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Ordabasy	13	9	4	0	24	9	15	31	2.67^0.29	1.25	23.78^0.22	12.93^3.93
2	Kairat	15	8	6	1	22	9	13	30	1.50^-0.50	1.22	25.60^-3.60	14.68^5.68
3	Okzhetpes	13	6	6	1	18	12	6	24	2.00^0.15	1.25	20.64^-2.64	18.13^6.13
4	Astana	13	6	4	3	19	13	6	22	1.67^-0.02	1.28	22.28^-3.28	16.02^3.02
5	Ulytau	13	6	4	3	13	13	0	22	1.83^0.14	1.23	17.82^-4.82	18.27^5.27
6	Yelimay Semey	13	5	5	3	20	17	3	20	1.17^-0.37	1.33	21.55^-1.55	16.38^-0.62
7	Aktobe	13	5	4	4	16	13	3	19	1.50^0.04	1.29	19.54^-3.54	17.65^4.65
8	Zhenys	13	4	4	5	11	16	-5	16	1.50^0.27	1.34	15.61^-4.61	16.70^0.70
9	Atyrau	13	2	9	2	9	8	1	15	1.33^0.18	1.36	10.37^-1.37	19.52^11.52
10	Kyzyl-Zhar	14	4	3	7	15	18	-3	15	0.67^-0.40	1.31	15.56^-0.56	20.43^2.43
11	Zhetysu	13	3	5	5	16	19	-3	14	0.50^-0.58	1.37	14.66^1.34	17.66^-1.34
12	Kaisar	14	2	7	5	11	18	-7	13	1.17^0.24	1.36	15.78^-4.78	20.94^2.94
13	Tobol	13	3	3	7	12	20	-8	12	1.17^0.25	1.35	19.89^-7.89	19.20^-0.80
14	Altay	13	1	6	6	6	12	-6	9	0.83^0.14	1.41	15.40^-9.40	17.79^5.79
15	Irtysh	13	1	6	6	13	19	-6	9	0.50^-0.19	1.40	18.25^-5.25	20.80^1.80
16	FC Caspiy	13	2	2	9	8	17	-9	8	1.17^0.55	1.30	11.41^-3.41	21.06^4.06
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
5	Played	5
1.2	Avg goals for/against	0.4
1.4	Avg goals against/for	0.6
2.6	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (1.80)	1
80%	Scoring rate	40%
80%	Conceding rate	40%
20%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	60%
20%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	60%
0%	Scored in both halves (0.0%)	0%
80%	Scored first	40%
20%	Leading/Losing at half-time (10.0%)	0%
0%	Losing/Leading at half-time (10.0%)	20%
5.4	Avg corners for/against	3.8
6.2	Avg corners against/for	7
11.6	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.20)	10.8
5.4	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.70)	4
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (80.0%)	60%
80%	GF+GA over 1.5 (50.0%)	20%
60%	GF+GA over 2.5 (40.0%)	20%
20%	GF+GA over 3.5 (10.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (0.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
60%	Both teams scored (40.0%)	20%
40%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (30.0%)	20%
40%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (20.0%)	0%
20%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (10.0%)	0%
100%	Over 7.5 total corners (90.0%)	80%
100%	Over 8.5 total corners (90.0%)	80%
100%	Over 9.5 total corners (90.0%)	80%
100%	Over 10.5 total corners (80.0%)	60%
40%	Over 11.5 total corners (40.0%)	40%
20%	Over 12.5 total corners (20.0%)	20%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
1 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
1 (3)	No win	2 (0)
3 (0)	No draw	0 (1)
0 (1)	No defeat	1 (2)
1(2)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	2(3)
0(0)	No goal scored	3(2)
1(1)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(1)
1(2)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	2(3)

Opening goals



4/5 (80%)	Scored first, home/away	2/5 (40%)
6/12 (50%)	Scored first, overall	5/12 (42%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source15 matches31 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.6

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.07

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.47

Exp goals after