2026/06/21 15:00

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AI match insights

Match Preview: Aktobe vs Astana (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A clash of contrasting home and away fortunes in the Kazakhstan Premier League

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.46

PPG

1.69

1.5

Last 6 PPG

1.67

2.13

Home/away PPG

0.5

2.86

xG overall

2.94

3.01

Home/away xG overall

3.01

1.50

xG for per game

1.71

1.36

xG against per game

1.23

1.77

Home/away xG for per game

1.56

1.24

Home/away xG against per game

1.45

Last X

Home wins

(15%)

Draws

(18%)

Away wins

(67%)

2025/10/19

5:3

2025/06/22

0:1

2024/10/27

2:0

2024/05/04

1:1

2023/09/30

2:0

2023/03/14

1:4

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Ordabasy	14	10	4	0	26	9	17	34	2.67^0.24	1.21	27.10^-1.10	13.80^4.80
2	Kairat	15	8	6	1	22	9	13	30	1.50^-0.50	1.22	25.60^-3.60	14.68^5.68
3	Okzhetpes	13	6	6	1	18	12	6	24	2.00^0.15	1.24	20.64^-2.64	18.13^6.13
4	Ulytau	14	6	5	3	13	13	0	23	1.50^-0.14	1.21	18.50^-5.50	18.95^5.95
5	Astana	13	6	4	3	19	13	6	22	1.67^-0.02	1.28	22.28^-3.28	16.02^3.02
6	Yelimay Semey	13	5	5	3	20	17	3	20	1.17^-0.37	1.32	21.55^-1.55	16.38^-0.62
7	Aktobe	13	5	4	4	16	13	3	19	1.50^0.04	1.29	19.54^-3.54	17.65^4.65
8	Zhenys	14	4	5	5	11	16	-5	17	1.17^-0.04	1.29	16.98^-5.98	18.35^2.35
9	Atyrau	13	2	9	2	9	8	1	15	1.33^0.18	1.36	10.37^-1.37	19.52^11.52
10	Kyzyl-Zhar	14	4	3	7	15	18	-3	15	0.67^-0.40	1.31	15.56^-0.56	20.43^2.43
11	Zhetysu	14	3	6	5	19	22	-3	15	0.50^-0.57	1.32	17.19^1.81	19.37^-2.63
12	Kaisar	15	2	8	5	11	18	-7	14	1.33^0.40	1.38	16.46^-5.46	21.63^3.63
13	Tobol	13	3	3	7	12	20	-8	12	1.17^0.25	1.34	19.89^-7.89	19.20^-0.80
14	Altay	14	1	7	6	9	15	-6	10	1.00^0.29	1.38	17.11^-8.11	20.31^5.31
15	Irtysh	14	1	7	6	13	19	-6	10	0.67^-0.04	1.38	19.91^-6.91	22.17^3.17
16	FC Caspiy	14	2	2	10	8	19	-11	8	0.67^0.10	1.37	12.28^-4.28	24.37^5.37
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	6
1.63	Avg goals for/against	0.5
0.75	Avg goals against/for	1.5
2.38	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.19)	2
88%	Scoring rate	83%
38%	Conceding rate	33%
63%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	17%
13%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	67%
13%	Scored in both halves (15.0%)	17%
75%	Scored first	33%
38%	Leading/Losing at half-time (19.0%)	0%
0%	Losing/Leading at half-time (25.0%)	50%
5.88	Avg corners for/against	6.33
3.5	Avg corners against/for	3.17
9.38	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.44)	9.5
4.88	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.44)	4
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 (85.5%)	83%
63%	GF+GA over 1.5 (56.5%)	50%
38%	GF+GA over 2.5 (35.5%)	33%
25%	GF+GA over 3.5 (29.0%)	33%
25%	GF+GA over 4.5 (12.5%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
38%	Both teams scored (35.5%)	33%
38%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (44.0%)	50%
0%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (16.5%)	33%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (16.5%)	33%
88%	Over 7.5 total corners (77.5%)	67%
75%	Over 8.5 total corners (62.5%)	50%
38%	Over 9.5 total corners (35.5%)	33%
25%	Over 10.5 total corners (29.0%)	33%
13%	Over 11.5 total corners (15.0%)	17%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (8.5%)	17%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (8.5%)	17%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	6 (0)
1 (1)	No draw	0 (1)
6 (5)	No defeat	1 (3)
1(2)	1 goal scored or more	1(3)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	5(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
2(1)	No goal conceded	0(1)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
3(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	3(2)
1(2)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



6/8 (75%)	Scored first, home/away	2/6 (33%)
6/13 (46%)	Scored first, overall	7/13 (54%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source31 matches90 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.9

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.9

Exp goals after