Match data

Value betting model

Aktobe

2026/05/17 13:00

1:1

Atyrau

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Match Preview: Aktobe vs Atyrau (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.44

PPG

1.22

1.33

Last 6 PPG

2.4

Home/away PPG

0.75

2.81

xG overall

2.25

3.14

Home/away xG overall

2.64

1.47

xG for per game

0.77

1.34

xG against per game

1.48

1.83

Home/away xG for per game

0.78

1.31

Home/away xG against per game

1.86

Last X

Home wins

(50%)

Draws

(43%)

Away wins

(7%)

2025/07/05

2:0

2025/03/30

0:4

2024/09/29

1:2

2024/08/11

1:1

2024/04/07

1:1

2023/08/27

0:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Kairat	12	7	5	0	17	6	11	26	2.00^-0.17	1.11	20.08^-3.08	11.56^5.56
2	Ordabasy	11	7	4	0	19	7	12	25	2.67^0.40	1.15	20.35^-1.35	10.45^3.45
3	Okzhetpes	11	6	4	1	14	8	6	22	1.83^-0.17	1.24	18.52^-4.52	16.27^8.27
4	Astana	12	5	4	3	17	13	4	19	1.67^0.09	1.34	20.58^-3.58	14.38^1.38
5	Ulytau	12	5	4	3	11	12	-1	19	1.33^-0.25	1.26	16.40^-5.40	17.00^5.00
6	Yelimay Semey	11	4	5	2	16	12	5	17	1.00^-0.55	1.24	20.49^-4.49	14.59^2.59
7	Aktobe	11	4	3	4	12	11	1	15	1.33^-0.03	1.34	17.79^-5.79	15.44^4.44
8	Atyrau	11	2	7	2	7	6	1	13	1.00^-0.18	1.27	9.45^-2.45	17.06^11.06
9	Zhetysu	11	3	4	4	12	14	-3	13	1.33^0.15	1.30	12.62^-0.62	16.16^2.16
10	Zhenys	11	3	4	4	9	14	-4	13	1.67^0.49	1.32	14.34^-5.34	15.34^1.34
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	11	3	3	5	12	11	2	12	0.67^-0.42	1.28	14.04^-2.04	15.50^4.50
12	Kaisar	12	1	7	4	7	14	-8	10	1.00^0.17	1.42	15.91^-8.91	21.44^7.44
13	Altay	12	1	6	5	6	10	-4	9	1.00^0.25	1.41	13.81^-7.81	16.09^6.09
14	Irtysh	12	1	6	5	13	17	-4	9	0.50^-0.25	1.38	16.61^-3.61	19.10^2.10
15	FC Caspiy	11	2	2	7	7	14	-8	8	1.17^0.44	1.33	11.47^-4.47	21.06^7.06
16	Tobol	11	2	2	7	9	19	-10	8	1.00^0.27	1.36	17.35^-8.35	18.36^-0.64
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
5	Played	4
2	Avg goals for/against	0.75
1	Avg goals against/for	1
3	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.38)	1.75
100%	Scoring rate	75%
40%	Conceding rate	75%
60%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	25%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
20%	Scored in both halves (10.0%)	0%
100%	Scored first	25%
60%	Leading/Losing at half-time (42.5%)	25%
0%	Losing/Leading at half-time (12.5%)	25%
5.2	Avg corners for/against	3.5
4.2	Avg corners against/for	7.25
9.4	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.07)	10.75
4.6	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.42)	4.25
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (87.5%)	75%
60%	GF+GA over 1.5 (67.5%)	75%
60%	GF+GA over 2.5 (42.5%)	25%
40%	GF+GA over 3.5 (20.0%)	0%
40%	GF+GA over 4.5 (20.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
40%	Both teams scored (57.5%)	75%
60%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (67.5%)	75%
0%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (25.0%)	50%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
80%	Over 7.5 total corners (77.5%)	75%
60%	Over 8.5 total corners (55.0%)	50%
40%	Over 9.5 total corners (45.0%)	50%
40%	Over 10.5 total corners (45.0%)	50%
20%	Over 11.5 total corners (35.0%)	50%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (25.0%)	50%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (12.5%)	25%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
3 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	4 (1)
5 (5)	No draw	0 (0)
3 (1)	No defeat	1 (2)
0(1)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
0(1)	1 goal conceded or more	0(1)
1(0)	No goal scored	1(0)
1(0)	No goal conceded	1(0)
0(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
2(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	3(5)
0(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



5/5 (100%)	Scored first, home/away	1/4 (25%)
5/9 (56%)	Scored first, overall	3/9 (33%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source27 matches62 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.59

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.3

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.7

Exp goals after