Match data

Value betting model

Hibernian

2026/04/26 15:30

1:2

Hearts

AI match insights

Match Preview: Hibernian vs Hearts (Data-Driven Analysis)

League Context: A high-stakes Edinburgh Derby at Easter Road

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.55

PPG

2.12

Last 6 PPG

1.88

Home/away PPG

1.69

2.79

xG overall

2.79

2.89

Home/away xG overall

2.89

1.47

xG for per game

1.65

1.32

xG against per game

1.14

1.73

Home/away xG for per game

1.56

1.16

Home/away xG against per game

1.33

Last X

Home wins

(26%)

Draws

(36%)

Away wins

(38%)

2026/02/10

1:0

2025/12/27

3:2

2025/10/04

1:0

2025/03/02

2:1

2024/12/26

1:2

2024/10/27

1:1

League table

Championship Group

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	14	6	32	15	3.00^0.84	0.76	72.04^-58.04	40.70^34.70
2	Hearts	5	3	1	1	9	6	33	10	2.17^0.06	0.77	62.53^-53.53	42.78^36.78
3	Motherwell	5	2	1	2	7	7	23	7	1.17^-0.44	0.81	59.12^-52.12	47.69^40.69
4	Hibernian	5	2	0	3	7	7	14	6	1.00^-0.50	0.82	52.40^-45.40	53.91^46.91
5	Rangers	5	1	0	4	10	12	33	3	1.00^-0.89	0.79	71.35^-61.35	45.86^33.86
6	Falkirk	5	1	0	4	5	14	-12	3	0.50^-0.79	0.84	50.92^-45.92	56.12^42.12
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Relegation Group

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Kilmarnock	4	3	0	1	9	2	-21	9	1.67^0.67	0.43	48.15^-39.15	60.90^58.90
2	Aberdeen	4	2	1	1	5	4	-14	7	1.67^0.59	0.43	46.06^-41.06	59.69^55.69
3	Dundee	4	2	0	2	5	6	-20	6	1.17^0.12	0.43	41.94^-36.94	64.89^58.89
4	Livingston	4	1	2	1	4	5	-32	5	1.00^0.43	0.47	43.03^-39.03	64.77^59.77
5	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	3	5	-11	4	1.17^-0.02	0.42	54.93^-51.93	62.23^57.23
6	St. Mirren	4	1	0	3	2	6	-25	3	1.00^0.11	0.44	49.73^-47.73	52.64^46.64
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
16	Played	16
1.88	Avg goals for/against	1.63
0.88	Avg goals against/for	1.13
2.75	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.75)	2.75
81%	Scoring rate	63%
50%	Conceding rate	75%
50%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	38%
19%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
50%	Scored in both halves (50.0%)	50%
56%	Scored first	50%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (44.0%)	38%
19%	Losing/Leading at half-time (25.0%)	31%
6.19	Avg corners for/against	5.38
5.63	Avg corners against/for	4.56
11.82	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.88)	9.94
3.88	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.44)	5
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 (91.0%)	94%
81%	GF+GA over 1.5 (75.0%)	69%
50%	GF+GA over 2.5 (53.0%)	56%
31%	GF+GA over 3.5 (31.0%)	31%
19%	GF+GA over 4.5 (19.0%)	19%
6%	GF+GA over 5.5 (6.0%)	6%
44%	Both teams scored (44.0%)	44%
69%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (78.5%)	88%
38%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (38.0%)	38%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (13.0%)	13%
94%	Over 7.5 total corners (91.0%)	88%
88%	Over 8.5 total corners (84.5%)	81%
75%	Over 9.5 total corners (69.0%)	63%
63%	Over 10.5 total corners (50.5%)	38%
44%	Over 11.5 total corners (28.5%)	13%
31%	Over 12.5 total corners (22.0%)	13%
31%	Over 13.5 total corners (18.5%)	6%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
- (-)	Consecutive wins	- (-)
- (-)	Consecutive draws	- (-)
- (-)	Consecutive defeats	- (-)
- (-)	No win	- (-)
- (-)	No draw	- (-)
- (-)	No defeat	- (-)
0(0)	1 goal scored or more	4(8)
3(6)	1 goal conceded or more	7(1)
1(1)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(2)
1(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(1)

Opening goals



9/16 (56%)	Scored first, home/away	8/16 (50%)
17/33 (52%)	Scored first, overall	22/33 (67%)