2026/05/22 15:30

3:4

AI match insights

Match Preview: Sumqayit vs Qarabag (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A battle between a mid-table side and a league title contender

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.19

PPG

2.06

1.5

Last 6 PPG

2.17

1.33

Home/away PPG

2.66

xG overall

2.97

2.79

Home/away xG overall

2.97

1.24

xG for per game

2.00

1.42

xG against per game

0.97

1.32

Home/away xG for per game

1.91

1.47

Home/away xG against per game

1.06

Last X

Home wins

(12%)

Draws

(12%)

Away wins

(76%)

2025/11/21

2:4

2025/08/22

0:1

2025/05/04

2:0

2025/03/03

0:2

2024/12/16

5:0

2024/10/06

0:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Sabah	33	24	6	3	75	25	50	78	2.00^-0.36	1.29	60.80^14.20	35.41^10.41
2	Qarabağ	33	21	6	6	71	27	44	69	2.17^0.08	1.32	63.04^7.96	32.20^5.20
3	Neftçi	33	16	11	6	57	32	25	59	2.50^0.71	1.34	53.36^3.64	37.26^5.26
4	Turan	33	17	8	8	44	27	17	59	1.17^-0.62	1.34	43.55^0.45	34.36^7.36
5	Zira	33	13	14	6	43	36	7	53	1.50^-0.11	1.36	45.74^-2.74	36.90^0.90
6	Araz	33	14	6	13	45	57	-12	48	1.17^-0.28	1.37	40.81^4.19	51.16^-5.84
7	Sumqayıt	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8	38	1.50^0.35	1.40	41.95^0.05	46.63^-3.37
8	İnter Bakı	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9	38	1.00^-0.15	1.40	36.80^-5.80	46.82^6.82
9	Mil Mugan FK	32	8	11	13	22	40	-18	35	1.67^0.58	1.41	31.87^-9.87	45.77^5.77
10	Qabala	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17	27	1.33^0.51	1.43	41.07^-9.07	47.61^-1.39
11	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36	27	1.00^0.18	1.43	37.38^-12.38	57.73^-3.27
12	Karvan FK	32	3	5	24	22	65	-43	14	1.00^0.56	1.47	28.76^-6.76	53.29^-11.71
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
15	Played	15
1.4	Avg goals for/against	2
1.6	Avg goals against/for	0.93
3	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.96)	2.93
73%	Scoring rate	73%
73%	Conceding rate	87%
27%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	27%
27%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	13%
33%	Scored in both halves (40.0%)	47%
53%	Scored first	53%
20%	Leading/Losing at half-time (33.5%)	47%
33%	Losing/Leading at half-time (23.0%)	13%
4.4	Avg corners for/against	6.73
4.8	Avg corners against/for	2.93
9.2	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.43)	9.66
3.6	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.83)	4.07
93%	GF+GA over 0.5 (93.0%)	93%
73%	GF+GA over 1.5 (76.5%)	80%
60%	GF+GA over 2.5 (60.0%)	60%
40%	GF+GA over 3.5 (33.5%)	27%
27%	GF+GA over 4.5 (23.5%)	20%
7%	GF+GA over 5.5 (10.0%)	13%
53%	Both teams scored (60.0%)	67%
67%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (73.5%)	80%
33%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (36.5%)	40%
20%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (16.5%)	13%
60%	Over 7.5 total corners (63.5%)	67%
60%	Over 8.5 total corners (63.5%)	67%
53%	Over 9.5 total corners (50.0%)	47%
47%	Over 10.5 total corners (43.5%)	40%
33%	Over 11.5 total corners (33.0%)	33%
13%	Over 12.5 total corners (16.5%)	20%
7%	Over 13.5 total corners (10.0%)	13%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (1)	No win	2 (0)
4 (9)	No draw	0 (1)
2 (0)	No defeat	1 (3)
4(9)	1 goal scored or more	4(6)
2(4)	1 goal conceded or more	4(1)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
2(4)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
2(1)	2 goals scored or more	1(2)
1(2)	2 goals conceded or more	1(1)

Opening goals



8/15 (53%)	Scored first, home/away	8/15 (53%)
14/32 (44%)	Scored first, overall	19/32 (59%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source49 matches145 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.47

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.96

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.49

Exp goals after