Match data

Value betting model

Universidad Católica

2026/07/26 00:00

- : -

La Serena

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Match Preview: Universidad Católica vs La Serena (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.73

PPG

1.2

1.5

Last 6 PPG

1.86

Home/away PPG

0.86

2.54

xG overall

2.71

2.47

Home/away xG overall

2.93

1.42

xG for per game

1.25

1.12

xG against per game

1.46

1.45

Home/away xG for per game

1.28

1.02

Home/away xG against per game

1.65

Last X

Home wins

(64%)

Draws

(9%)

Away wins

(27%)

2026/02/01

2:2

2025/11/08

0:1

2025/05/25

1:3

2022/09/10

0:4

2022/04/10

0:2

2021/11/13

0:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Colo-Colo	16	13	0	3	32	13	19	39	3.00^0.56	1.32	27.89^4.11	15.37^2.37
2	Universidad Católica	15	8	2	5	35	20	15	26	1.50^-0.23	1.37	21.31^13.69	16.84^-3.16
3	Universidad Chile	15	6	6	3	17	10	7	24	1.83^0.23	1.37	21.11^-4.11	17.97^7.97
4	Coquimbo Unido	15	7	3	5	22	18	4	24	1.83^0.23	1.37	22.89^-0.89	18.60^0.60
5	Palestino	15	7	3	5	23	21	2	24	2.17^0.57	1.37	21.89^1.11	20.90^-0.10
6	Huachipato	15	7	2	6	23	22	1	23	1.33^-0.20	1.38	23.77^-0.77	25.67^3.67
7	Ñublense	15	5	7	3	18	19	-1	22	1.00^-0.47	1.38	20.89^-2.89	18.81^-0.19
8	Deportes Limache	16	6	3	7	31	26	5	21	0.17^-1.14	1.39	21.30^9.70	26.22^0.22
9	O'Higgins	15	6	2	7	19	22	-3	20	1.17^-0.16	1.39	22.88^-3.88	20.30^-1.70
10	Everton	15	5	4	6	16	16	0	19	1.83^0.56	1.40	20.78^-4.78	23.30^7.30
11	Univ. Concepción	15	5	4	6	13	26	-13	19	0.83^-0.44	1.40	20.80^-7.80	25.16^-0.84
12	La Serena	15	4	6	5	21	25	-4	18	1.00^-0.20	1.40	18.81^2.19	21.93^-3.07
13	Unión La Calera	15	5	3	7	18	23	-5	18	0.83^-0.37	1.40	18.00^0.00	20.13^-2.87
14	Audax Italiano	15	4	4	7	18	21	-3	16	1.00^-0.07	1.41	18.22^-0.22	21.03^0.03
15	Concepción	15	4	2	9	14	23	-9	14	1.67^0.74	1.42	19.23^-5.23	21.30^-1.70
16	Cobresal	15	3	1	11	17	32	-15	10	0.50^-0.17	1.44	22.40^-5.40	28.64^-3.36
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	7
2.86	Avg goals for/against	1.14
1.29	Avg goals against/for	2.29
4.14	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.79)	3.43
100%	Scoring rate	86%
86%	Conceding rate	71%
14%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	14%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	29%
56%	Scored in both halves (28.0%)	0%
71%	Scored first	29%
43%	Leading/Losing at half-time (36.0%)	29%
29%	Losing/Leading at half-time (29.0%)	29%
4.43	Avg corners for/against	4
4.14	Avg corners against/for	5.71
8.57	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.14)	9.71
7.14	Avg total cards (F+A) (6.00)	4.86
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
100%	GF+GA over 1.5 (85.5%)	71%
86%	GF+GA over 2.5 (71.5%)	57%
57%	GF+GA over 3.5 (57.0%)	57%
29%	GF+GA over 4.5 (29.0%)	29%
29%	GF+GA over 5.5 (29.0%)	29%
86%	Both teams scored (71.5%)	57%
86%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (71.5%)	57%
71%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (50.0%)	29%
57%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (43.0%)	29%
71%	Over 7.5 total corners (63.5%)	56%
56%	Over 8.5 total corners (49.5%)	43%
28%	Over 9.5 total corners (35.5%)	43%
14%	Over 10.5 total corners (28.5%)	43%
0%	Over 11.5 total corners (14.0%)	28%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (7.0%)	14%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (7.0%)	14%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (2)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	5 (2)
4 (8)	No draw	0 (0)
1 (2)	No defeat	1 (1)
7(4)	1 goal scored or more	3(4)
6(1)	1 goal conceded or more	5(4)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
6(3)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(1)
1(2)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



5/7 (71%)	Scored first, home/away	2/7 (29%)
7/15 (47%)	Scored first, overall	7/15 (47%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source9 matches30 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.11

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.33

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.22

Exp goals after