Match data

Value betting model

Cerro Largo

2026/05/29 22:30

2:0

Cerro

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Cerro Largo vs Cerro (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A clash of contrasting away forms

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.18

PPG

0.76

Last 6 PPG

1.25

Home/away PPG

0.13

2.80

xG overall

2.76

2.70

Home/away xG overall

3.03

1.23

xG for per game

1.35

1.57

xG against per game

1.41

1.20

Home/away xG for per game

1.39

1.50

Home/away xG against per game

1.64

Last X

Home wins

(50%)

Draws

(33%)

Away wins

(17%)

2026/04/10

1:1

2025/09/07

0:1

2025/06/19

2:1

2025/03/17

0:0

2024/09/28

3:1

2024/07/14

0:1

League table

Group 1

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Peñarol	6	4	1	1	9	3	13	13	2.17^0.27	0.60	35.36^-26.36	24.33^21.33
2	Cerro Largo	5	2	2	1	6	2	1	8	1.33^0.08	0.65	24.89^-18.89	30.47^28.47
3	Central Español	5	2	2	1	4	3	2	8	1.83^0.23	0.62	24.25^-20.25	35.31^32.31
4	Racing	5	1	4	0	3	2	10	7	1.17^-0.73	0.60	32.18^-29.18	21.57^19.57
5	Cerro	5	2	0	3	4	8	-20	6	1.00^0.20	0.68	26.43^-22.43	29.39^21.39
6	Liverpool FC Montevideo	5	1	2	2	3	4	1	5	0.83^-0.42	0.65	27.93^-24.93	26.77^22.77
7	Boston River	6	1	2	3	5	9	-10	5	0.83^-0.22	0.66	26.47^-21.47	33.60^24.60
8	Defensor Sporting	5	0	3	2	3	6	-1	3	0.50^-0.70	0.65	29.32^-26.32	31.09^25.09
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Group 2

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Wanderers	6	3	3	0	10	4	1	12	2.00^0.48	0.63	28.85^-18.85	29.99^25.99
2	Deportivo Maldonado	6	3	2	1	12	6	14	11	1.83^-0.07	0.60	30.10^-18.10	26.35^20.35
3	Nacional	6	3	1	2	6	7	4	10	1.67^0.15	0.63	31.59^-25.59	21.52^14.52
4	Torque	5	3	0	2	10	9	7	9	2.00^0.40	0.62	29.40^-19.40	21.70^12.70
5	Juventud	6	2	1	3	8	11	-8	7	1.17^0.12	0.66	28.82^-20.82	30.45^19.45
6	Progreso	6	2	0	4	5	9	-15	6	1.00^0.24	0.68	24.48^-19.48	30.68^21.68
7	Albion	6	1	2	3	4	6	8	5	0.83^-0.74	0.63	25.61^-21.61	29.76^23.76
8	Danubio	5	0	3	2	3	6	-7	3	0.50^-0.55	0.66	24.92^-21.92	27.60^21.60
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
1.5	Avg goals for/against	0.5
1.13	Avg goals against/for	2.75
2.63	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.94)	3.25
75%	Scoring rate	100%
75%	Conceding rate	50%
25%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
25%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	50%
25%	Scored in both halves (12.5%)	0%
50%	Scored first	25%
38%	Leading/Losing at half-time (19.0%)	0%
38%	Losing/Leading at half-time (63.0%)	88%
2.5	Avg corners for/against	3.63
3.88	Avg corners against/for	5.63
6.38	Avg total corners (F+A) (7.82)	9.26
5.88	Avg total cards (F+A) (6.88)	7.88
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
75%	GF+GA over 1.5 (81.5%)	88%
50%	GF+GA over 2.5 (62.5%)	75%
25%	GF+GA over 3.5 (37.5%)	50%
13%	GF+GA over 4.5 (13.0%)	13%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
50%	Both teams scored (50.0%)	50%
75%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (81.5%)	88%
13%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (31.5%)	50%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (19.0%)	38%
50%	Over 7.5 total corners (69.0%)	88%
25%	Over 8.5 total corners (50.0%)	75%
0%	Over 9.5 total corners (19.0%)	38%
0%	Over 10.5 total corners (12.5%)	25%
0%	Over 11.5 total corners (12.5%)	25%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (6.5%)	13%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (6.5%)	13%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	3 (0)
0 (0)	No win	8 (0)
3 (6)	No draw	3 (5)
1 (1)	No defeat	0 (1)
4(1)	1 goal scored or more	1(1)
1(1)	1 goal conceded or more	10(3)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(1)
2(3)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(1)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



4/8 (50%)	Scored first, home/away	2/8 (25%)
7/17 (41%)	Scored first, overall	8/17 (47%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source18 matches33 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.22

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.83

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.61

Exp goals after