2026/07/18 15:30

- : -

AI match insights

Match Preview: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A clash between the struggling hosts and the league leaders

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.65

PPG

Last 6 PPG

0.5

Home/away PPG

1.5

2.64

xG overall

2.70

2.66

Home/away xG overall

2.65

1.18

xG for per game

1.43

1.46

xG against per game

1.27

1.20

Home/away xG for per game

1.33

1.46

Home/away xG against per game

1.32

Last X

Home wins

(31%)

Draws

(38%)

Away wins

(31%)

2026/02/14

2:0

2024/10/06

2:2

2024/07/21

0:1

2024/03/31

3:1

2021/10/21

2:0

2021/06/24

1:1

League table

Group 1

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Peñarol	5	3	1	1	6	3	10	10	2.17^0.32	0.61	34.26^-28.26	23.53^20.53
2	Cerro Largo	5	2	2	1	6	2	1	8	1.33^0.08	0.65	24.89^-18.89	30.47^28.47
3	Central Español	5	2	2	1	4	3	2	8	1.83^0.23	0.62	24.25^-20.25	35.31^32.31
4	Racing	5	1	4	0	3	2	10	7	1.17^-0.73	0.60	32.18^-29.18	21.57^19.57
5	Cerro	5	2	0	3	4	8	-20	6	1.00^0.20	0.68	26.43^-22.43	29.39^21.39
6	Liverpool FC Montevideo	5	1	2	2	3	4	1	5	0.83^-0.42	0.65	27.93^-24.93	26.77^22.77
7	Boston River	5	1	2	2	5	6	-7	5	0.83^-0.27	0.66	25.67^-20.67	32.50^26.50
8	Defensor Sporting	5	0	3	2	3	6	-1	3	0.50^-0.70	0.65	29.32^-26.32	31.09^25.09
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Group 2

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Deportivo Maldonado	5	3	2	0	12	5	15	11	2.33^0.33	0.60	28.62^-16.62	25.43^20.43
2	Nacional	5	3	1	1	5	5	5	10	2.17^0.57	0.62	30.15^-25.15	20.56^15.56
3	Wanderers	5	2	3	0	8	3	0	9	2.00^0.55	0.63	27.88^-19.88	28.56^25.56
4	Torque	5	3	0	2	10	9	7	9	2.00^0.40	0.62	29.40^-19.40	21.70^12.70
5	Albion	5	1	2	2	4	5	8	5	1.33^-0.32	0.62	25.61^-21.61	29.76^24.76
6	Juventud	5	1	1	3	7	11	-8	4	1.17^0.22	0.67	28.82^-21.82	30.45^19.45
7	Danubio	5	0	3	2	3	6	-7	3	0.50^-0.55	0.66	24.92^-21.92	27.60^21.60
8	Progreso	5	1	0	4	4	9	-16	3	0.50^-0.15	0.69	23.56^-19.56	29.19^20.19
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
10	Played	10
0.9	Avg goals for/against	1.6
1.8	Avg goals against/for	1.3
2.7	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.80)	2.9
50%	Scoring rate	70%
100%	Conceding rate	90%
0%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	30%
50%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	10%
30%	Scored in both halves (30.0%)	30%
20%	Scored first	60%
20%	Leading/Losing at half-time (35.0%)	50%
40%	Losing/Leading at half-time (25.0%)	10%
4.4	Avg corners for/against	5.8
4.1	Avg corners against/for	4.7
8.5	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.50)	10.5
5.8	Avg total cards (F+A) (6.40)	7
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (95.0%)	90%
70%	GF+GA over 1.5 (75.0%)	80%
60%	GF+GA over 2.5 (55.0%)	50%
20%	GF+GA over 3.5 (25.0%)	30%
10%	GF+GA over 4.5 (15.0%)	20%
10%	GF+GA over 5.5 (15.0%)	20%
50%	Both teams scored (60.0%)	70%
80%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (80.0%)	80%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (45.0%)	40%
10%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (15.0%)	20%
70%	Over 7.5 total corners (80.0%)	90%
50%	Over 8.5 total corners (55.0%)	60%
30%	Over 9.5 total corners (45.0%)	60%
30%	Over 10.5 total corners (45.0%)	60%
10%	Over 11.5 total corners (30.0%)	50%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (5.0%)	10%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
3 (2)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
3 (2)	No win	0 (1)
5 (11)	No draw	1 (0)
0 (0)	No defeat	5 (7)
2(0)	1 goal scored or more	7(15)
10(14)	1 goal conceded or more	2(2)
0(1)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
2(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(0)
0(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(0)
2(2)	2 goals conceded or more	1(0)

Opening goals



2/10 (20%)	Scored first, home/away	6/10 (60%)
4/20 (20%)	Scored first, overall	14/20 (70%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source8 matches18 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.13

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.25

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.13

Exp goals after