Match data

Value betting model

Cerro Largo

2026/07/13 22:00

- : -

Defensor Sporting

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Match Preview: Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.26

PPG

1.21

Last 6 PPG

1.44

Home/away PPG

0.8

2.78

xG overall

3.05

2.73

Home/away xG overall

2.83

1.25

xG for per game

1.47

1.53

xG against per game

1.58

1.28

Home/away xG for per game

1.20

1.45

Home/away xG against per game

1.63

Last X

Home wins

(24%)

Draws

(23%)

Away wins

(53%)

2026/02/21

1:0

2025/09/13

1:0

2025/05/24

3:2

2025/03/23

0:0

2024/11/27

3:0

2024/05/26

3:1

League table

Group 1

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Peñarol	5	3	1	1	6	3	10	10	2.17^0.32	0.61	34.26^-28.26	23.53^20.53
2	Central Español	5	2	2	1	4	3	2	8	1.83^0.23	0.62	24.25^-20.25	35.31^32.31
3	Cerro Largo	4	2	1	1	5	1	1	7	1.67^0.41	0.65	23.77^-18.77	29.08^28.08
4	Racing	5	1	4	0	3	2	10	7	1.17^-0.73	0.60	32.18^-29.18	21.57^19.57
5	Cerro	5	2	0	3	4	8	-20	6	1.00^0.20	0.68	26.43^-22.43	29.39^21.39
6	Liverpool FC Montevideo	5	1	2	2	3	4	1	5	0.83^-0.42	0.65	27.93^-24.93	26.77^22.77
7	Boston River	5	1	2	2	5	6	-7	5	0.83^-0.27	0.66	25.67^-20.67	32.50^26.50
8	Defensor Sporting	4	0	2	2	2	5	-1	2	0.50^-0.71	0.65	27.93^-25.93	29.98^24.98
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Group 2

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Deportivo Maldonado	5	3	2	0	12	5	15	11	2.33^0.33	0.60	28.62^-16.62	25.43^20.43
2	Nacional	5	3	1	1	5	5	5	10	2.17^0.57	0.62	30.15^-25.15	20.56^15.56
3	Wanderers	5	2	3	0	8	3	0	9	2.00^0.55	0.63	27.88^-19.88	28.56^25.56
4	Torque	5	3	0	2	10	9	7	9	2.00^0.40	0.62	29.40^-19.40	21.70^12.70
5	Albion	5	1	2	2	4	5	9	5	1.33^-0.32	0.62	24.76^-20.76	28.95^23.95
6	Juventud	5	1	1	3	7	11	-9	4	1.17^0.22	0.67	28.00^-21.00	29.60^18.60
7	Danubio	5	0	3	2	3	6	-7	3	0.50^-0.55	0.66	24.92^-21.92	27.60^21.60
8	Progreso	5	1	0	4	4	9	-16	3	0.50^-0.15	0.69	23.56^-19.56	29.19^20.19
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
9	Played	10
1.56	Avg goals for/against	0.6
1	Avg goals against/for	0.9
2.56	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.03)	1.5
78%	Scoring rate	80%
67%	Conceding rate	50%
33%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	20%
22%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	50%
22%	Scored in both halves (16.0%)	10%
56%	Scored first	30%
33%	Leading/Losing at half-time (16.5%)	0%
33%	Losing/Leading at half-time (31.5%)	30%
2.78	Avg corners for/against	4.3
3.56	Avg corners against/for	5.2
6.34	Avg total corners (F+A) (7.92)	9.5
5.89	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.59)	5.3
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (90.0%)	80%
78%	GF+GA over 1.5 (64.0%)	50%
44%	GF+GA over 2.5 (32.0%)	20%
22%	GF+GA over 3.5 (11.0%)	0%
11%	GF+GA over 4.5 (5.5%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
44%	Both teams scored (47.0%)	50%
67%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (63.5%)	60%
11%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (20.5%)	30%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
44%	Over 7.5 total corners (57.0%)	70%
22%	Over 8.5 total corners (46.0%)	70%
0%	Over 9.5 total corners (30.0%)	60%
0%	Over 10.5 total corners (30.0%)	60%
0%	Over 11.5 total corners (15.0%)	30%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (5.0%)	10%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	1 (2)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (1)	No win	8 (6)
4 (0)	No draw	0 (0)
2 (3)	No defeat	1 (2)
3(0)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	0(1)
0(1)	No goal scored	1(0)
2(3)	No goal conceded	1(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
1(2)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(3)
3(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



5/9 (56%)	Scored first, home/away	3/10 (30%)
8/19 (42%)	Scored first, overall	7/19 (37%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source17 matches41 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.88

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.41

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.53

Exp goals after