Match data

Value betting model

Danubio

2026/07/11 18:00

- : -

Nacional

AI match insights

Match Analysis: Danubio vs

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.05

PPG

1.63

Last 6 PPG

1.22

Home/away PPG

1.5

2.67

xG overall

2.58

2.79

Home/away xG overall

2.65

1.27

xG for per game

1.54

1.40

xG against per game

1.04

1.51

Home/away xG for per game

1.42

1.28

Home/away xG against per game

1.23

Last X

Home wins

(39%)

Draws

(13%)

Away wins

(48%)

2026/04/25

1:2

2025/10/12

0:0

2025/06/29

3:2

2025/04/13

2:0

2024/11/28

0:0

2024/07/13

0:6

League table

Group 1

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Peñarol	4	3	0	1	5	2	10	9	2.17^0.28	0.61	33.24^-28.24	22.49^20.49
2	Cerro Largo	4	2	1	1	5	1	1	7	1.67^0.41	0.65	23.77^-18.77	29.08^28.08
3	Central Español	4	2	1	1	4	3	2	7	1.67^0.04	0.63	23.34^-19.34	33.63^30.63
4	Racing	4	1	3	0	2	1	10	6	1.17^-0.78	0.61	31.14^-29.14	20.56^19.56
5	Liverpool FC Montevideo	4	1	2	1	2	2	2	5	1.33^0.01	0.65	26.13^-24.13	25.85^23.85
6	Boston River	4	1	1	2	5	6	-7	4	1.17^0.06	0.66	23.99^-18.99	31.60^25.60
7	Cerro	4	1	0	3	2	7	-21	3	0.50^-0.18	0.69	25.51^-23.51	27.59^20.59
8	Defensor Sporting	4	0	2	2	2	5	-1	2	0.50^-0.71	0.66	27.93^-25.93	29.98^24.98
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Group 2

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Deportivo Maldonado	5	3	2	0	12	5	15	11	2.33^0.33	0.59	28.62^-16.62	25.43^20.43
2	Nacional	4	3	0	1	5	5	5	9	2.00^0.37	0.62	29.22^-24.22	19.83^14.83
3	Wanderers	4	1	3	0	6	3	-2	6	1.50^0.13	0.64	26.45^-20.45	27.04^24.04
4	Torque	4	2	0	2	7	8	5	6	1.67^0.14	0.63	27.97^-20.97	20.99^12.99
5	Albion	5	1	2	2	4	5	9	5	1.33^-0.32	0.62	24.76^-20.76	28.95^23.95
6	Juventud	4	1	1	2	6	8	-7	4	1.67^0.67	0.66	27.29^-21.29	28.17^20.17
7	Progreso	4	1	0	3	4	7	-14	3	0.50^-0.18	0.68	22.04^-18.04	27.76^20.76
8	Danubio	4	0	2	2	3	6	-7	2	0.33^-0.72	0.66	24.19^-21.19	26.67^20.67
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
9	Played	10
1.33	Avg goals for/against	1.7
1	Avg goals against/for	2
2.33	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.02)	3.7
78%	Scoring rate	90%
78%	Conceding rate	90%
22%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	10%
22%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	10%
22%	Scored in both halves (21.0%)	20%
67%	Scored first	40%
44%	Leading/Losing at half-time (32.0%)	20%
11%	Losing/Leading at half-time (20.5%)	30%
5.22	Avg corners for/against	5.5
3.89	Avg corners against/for	3.5
9.11	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.05)	9
5.56	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.73)	5.9
89%	GF+GA over 0.5 (94.5%)	100%
78%	GF+GA over 1.5 (84.0%)	90%
33%	GF+GA over 2.5 (61.5%)	90%
22%	GF+GA over 3.5 (36.0%)	50%
11%	GF+GA over 4.5 (20.5%)	30%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (5.0%)	10%
67%	Both teams scored (73.5%)	80%
78%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (79.0%)	80%
33%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (46.5%)	60%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (15.0%)	30%
78%	Over 7.5 total corners (69.0%)	60%
67%	Over 8.5 total corners (63.5%)	60%
44%	Over 9.5 total corners (52.0%)	60%
33%	Over 10.5 total corners (26.5%)	20%
11%	Over 11.5 total corners (10.5%)	10%
11%	Over 12.5 total corners (10.5%)	10%
11%	Over 13.5 total corners (10.5%)	10%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
1 (2)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	1 (0)
6 (6)	No win	1 (0)
0 (0)	No draw	10 (17)
1 (2)	No defeat	0 (1)
2(1)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
5(1)	1 goal conceded or more	8(2)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	8(2)
1(2)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(0)

Opening goals



6/9 (67%)	Scored first, home/away	4/10 (40%)
11/19 (58%)	Scored first, overall	8/19 (42%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source31 matches71 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.03

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.29

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.26

Exp goals after