2026/06/06 21:30

- : -

AI match insights

Match Preview: Nacional vs Juventud (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A clash between a title-contending Nacional side and a struggling Juventud

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.56

PPG

1.06

Last 6 PPG

1.63

Home/away PPG

0.71

2.63

xG overall

2.97

2.62

Home/away xG overall

3.18

1.58

xG for per game

1.47

1.05

xG against per game

1.50

1.78

Home/away xG for per game

1.35

0.84

Home/away xG against per game

1.83

Last X

Home wins

(65%)

Draws

(17%)

Away wins

(18%)

2026/03/08

3:1

2025/09/28

0:0

2025/06/18

4:1

2025/03/30

1:2

2019/12/05

0:3

2019/08/25

0:2

League table

Group 1

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Cerro Largo	3	2	0	1	5	1	1	6	1.50^0.22	0.66	22.92^-17.92	27.78^26.78
2	Peñarol	3	2	0	1	4	2	9	6	1.67^-0.16	0.62	31.89^-27.89	21.43^19.43
3	Central Español	3	2	0	1	3	2	2	6	2.00^0.33	0.63	22.53^-19.53	30.81^28.81
4	Racing	3	1	2	0	1	0	10	5	1.50^-0.50	0.61	28.82^-27.82	19.99^19.99
5	Liverpool FC Montevideo	3	1	1	1	2	2	2	4	1.33^0.00	0.66	24.83^-22.83	25.00^23.00
6	Boston River	3	1	0	2	4	5	-7	3	1.00^-0.11	0.67	21.76^-17.76	29.35^24.35
7	Cerro	3	1	0	2	2	6	-20	3	0.50^-0.22	0.70	23.95^-21.95	25.99^19.99
8	Defensor Sporting	3	0	1	2	1	4	-1	1	0.83^-0.39	0.66	25.68^-24.68	27.75^23.75
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Group 2

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Deportivo Maldonado	3	2	1	0	7	2	13	7	2.17^0.17	0.60	26.21^-19.21	22.71^20.71
2	Wanderers	4	1	3	0	6	3	-3	6	1.50^0.18	0.65	26.45^-20.45	27.04^24.04
3	Torque	3	2	0	1	5	4	7	6	2.17^0.56	0.63	26.41^-21.41	19.84^15.84
4	Nacional	3	2	0	1	3	4	4	6	1.50^-0.06	0.63	28.43^-25.43	18.98^14.98
5	Juventud	2	1	0	1	4	5	-6	3	1.83^0.77	0.67	25.06^-21.06	25.51^20.51
6	Progreso	3	1	0	2	3	5	-13	3	0.50^-0.22	0.69	20.30^-17.30	26.70^21.70
7	Albion	3	0	1	2	1	3	8	1	1.67^0.06	0.63	22.38^-21.38	26.21^23.21
8	Danubio	3	0	1	2	2	5	-6	1	0.67^-0.50	0.66	22.48^-20.48	25.04^20.04
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	7
1.5	Avg goals for/against	1.29
0.63	Avg goals against/for	2
2.13	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.71)	3.29
75%	Scoring rate	100%
50%	Conceding rate	86%
50%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
25%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	14%
38%	Scored in both halves (40.5%)	43%
50%	Scored first	57%
38%	Leading/Losing at half-time (40.5%)	43%
0%	Losing/Leading at half-time (21.5%)	43%
6.75	Avg corners for/against	4
2.5	Avg corners against/for	4.43
9.25	Avg total corners (F+A) (8.84)	8.43
8.13	Avg total cards (F+A) (8.50)	8.86
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
63%	GF+GA over 1.5 (74.5%)	86%
38%	GF+GA over 2.5 (62.0%)	86%
13%	GF+GA over 3.5 (28.0%)	43%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (7.0%)	14%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
25%	Both teams scored (55.5%)	86%
50%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (68.0%)	86%
25%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (34.0%)	43%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (14.5%)	29%
63%	Over 7.5 total corners (59.5%)	56%
50%	Over 8.5 total corners (46.5%)	43%
50%	Over 9.5 total corners (46.5%)	43%
38%	Over 10.5 total corners (33.0%)	28%
38%	Over 11.5 total corners (33.0%)	28%
38%	Over 12.5 total corners (19.0%)	0%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (6.5%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (1)	No win	0 (1)
7 (16)	No draw	1 (4)
2 (0)	No defeat	2 (0)
3(0)	1 goal scored or more	3(9)
0(1)	1 goal conceded or more	7(1)
0(1)	No goal scored	0(0)
2(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	3(1)
1(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	2(4)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



4/8 (50%)	Scored first, home/away	4/7 (57%)
8/18 (44%)	Scored first, overall	9/17 (53%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source17 matches45 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.88

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.65

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.76

Exp goals after