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  1. Uruguay Primera División
  2. Danubio vs Progreso
  3. Value betting model
Match dataValue betting model
Danubio
Danubio
2026/05/30 18:00
1:2
FT
Progreso
Progreso

Reference odds

B
 
1
1.90
X
3.30
2
3.90
P
 
1
2.00
X
3.12
2
4.37

Match results

Home win
2.02 (49.6%)
Draw
3.93 (25.5%)
Away win
4.01 (24.9%)

Double chance

1X
1.33 (75.1%)
X2
1.98 (50.4%)
12
1.34 (74.5%)

Both teams to score

Yes1.98 (50.4%)
No2.02 (49.6%)

Exact goals

0
13.07 (7.6%)
1
5.08 (19.7%)
2
3.96 (25.3%)
3
4.62 (21.6%)
4
7.18 (13.9%)
5
13.97 (7.2%)
6
32.68 (3.1%)
7+
61.73 (1.6%)

Asian goal line

HandicapOverUnder
4.58.451.13
4.257.861.15
47.271.16
3.754.951.25
3.53.881.35
3.253.461.41
33.041.49
2.752.441.70
2.52.111.90
2.251.842.19
21.582.74
1.751.453.20
1.51.383.66
1.251.245.16
11.1110.50
0.751.0911.79
0.51.0813.07

Match results

Home win
2.02 (49.6%)
Draw
3.93 (25.5%)
Away win
4.01 (24.9%)

Double chance

1X
1.33 (75.1%)
X2
1.98 (50.4%)
12
1.34 (74.5%)

Handicap

Win
Draw
Lose
-3
28.74 (3.5%)
14.37 (7.0%)
1.12 (89.6%)
-2
9.58 (10.4%)
6.62 (15.1%)
1.34 (74.5%)
-1
3.91 (25.6%)
4.15 (24.1%)
1.98 (50.4%)
1
1.33 (75.1%)
6.31 (15.8%)
11.01 (9.1%)
2
1.10 (90.9%)
15.31 (6.5%)
39.22 (2.5%)
3
1.03 (97.5%)
50.51 (2.0%)
175.44 (0.6%)

Asian handicap

HandicapHomeAway
-326.741.04
-2.7513.871.08
-2.59.581.12
-2.258.851.13
-28.131.14
-1.755.141.24
-1.53.911.34
-1.253.441.41
-12.971.51
-0.752.341.75
-0.52.021.98
-0.251.762.32
01.502.99
HandicapHomeAway
31.01171.96
2.751.0263.47
2.51.0339.22
2.251.0337.94
21.0336.65
1.751.0616.64
1.51.1011.01
1.251.1110.14
11.129.27
0.751.235.42
0.51.334.01
0.251.403.50
01.502.99

Scores

Home win
1:0
8.43 (11.9%)
2:0
10.88 (9.2%)
2:1
10.66 (9.4%)
3:0
21.05 (4.8%)
3:1
20.62 (4.9%)
3:2
40.49 (2.5%)
4:0
54.35 (1.8%)
4:1
53.19 (1.9%)
4:2
104.17 (1.0%)
4:3
303.03 (0.3%)
Draw
0:0
13.07 (7.6%)
1:1
8.26 (12.1%)
2:2
20.92 (4.8%)
3:3
119.05 (0.8%)
4:4
1250.00 (0.1%)
Away win
0:1
12.80 (7.8%)
0:2
25.13 (4.0%)
0:3
74.07 (1.4%)
0:4
285.71 (0.4%)
1:2
16.21 (6.2%)
1:3
47.62 (2.1%)
1:4
185.19 (0.5%)
2:3
61.35 (1.6%)
2:4
243.90 (0.4%)
3:4
476.19 (0.2%)
Other40.16 (2.5%)
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