2026/05/30 18:00

1:2

AI match insights

Match Preview: Danubio vs Progreso (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A clash between mid-table sides aiming to stabilize their seasons

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.13

PPG

0.59

Last 6 PPG

1.43

Home/away PPG

0.63

2.66

xG overall

2.61

2.73

Home/away xG overall

2.57

1.25

xG for per game

1.10

1.41

xG against per game

1.51

1.55

Home/away xG for per game

1.02

1.18

Home/away xG against per game

1.55

Last X

Home wins

(14%)

Draws

(50%)

Away wins

(36%)

2026/02/28

2:2

2025/08/24

1:0

2025/05/31

0:1

2025/02/23

1:1

2024/10/12

0:0

2024/04/06

1:1

League table

Group 1

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Peñarol	6	4	1	1	9	3	13	13	2.17^0.27	0.60	35.93^-26.93	24.86^21.86
2	Cerro Largo	5	2	2	1	6	2	1	8	1.33^0.08	0.65	24.89^-18.89	30.47^28.47
3	Central Español	5	2	2	1	4	3	2	8	1.83^0.23	0.62	24.25^-20.25	35.31^32.31
4	Racing	5	1	4	0	3	2	10	7	1.17^-0.73	0.60	32.18^-29.18	21.57^19.57
5	Cerro	5	2	0	3	4	8	-20	6	1.00^0.20	0.68	26.43^-22.43	29.39^21.39
6	Liverpool FC Montevideo	5	1	2	2	3	4	1	5	0.83^-0.42	0.65	27.93^-24.93	26.77^22.77
7	Boston River	6	1	2	3	5	9	-10	5	0.83^-0.22	0.66	27.00^-22.00	34.17^25.17
8	Defensor Sporting	5	0	3	2	3	6	-1	3	0.50^-0.70	0.65	29.32^-26.32	31.09^25.09
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Group 2

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Wanderers	6	3	3	0	10	4	1	12	2.00^0.48	0.63	28.85^-18.85	29.99^25.99
2	Deportivo Maldonado	6	3	2	1	12	6	14	11	1.83^-0.07	0.60	30.10^-18.10	26.35^20.35
3	Nacional	6	3	1	2	6	7	4	10	1.67^0.15	0.63	31.59^-25.59	21.52^14.52
4	Torque	5	3	0	2	10	9	7	9	2.00^0.40	0.62	29.40^-19.40	21.70^12.70
5	Juventud	6	2	1	3	8	11	-8	7	1.17^0.12	0.66	28.82^-20.82	30.45^19.45
6	Progreso	6	2	0	4	5	9	-15	6	1.00^0.24	0.68	24.48^-19.48	30.68^21.68
7	Albion	6	1	2	3	4	6	8	5	0.83^-0.74	0.63	25.61^-21.61	29.76^23.76
8	Danubio	5	0	3	2	3	6	-7	3	0.50^-0.55	0.66	24.92^-21.92	27.60^21.60
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	8
1.43	Avg goals for/against	0.63
0.86	Avg goals against/for	1.38
2.29	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.15)	2
71%	Scoring rate	88%
71%	Conceding rate	50%
29%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	13%
29%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	50%
28%	Scored in both halves (20.5%)	13%
71%	Scored first	25%
43%	Leading/Losing at half-time (21.5%)	0%
14%	Losing/Leading at half-time (38.5%)	63%
4.86	Avg corners for/against	3.75
3.29	Avg corners against/for	4.63
8.15	Avg total corners (F+A) (8.27)	8.38
5.86	Avg total cards (F+A) (6.12)	6.38
86%	GF+GA over 0.5 (93.0%)	100%
71%	GF+GA over 1.5 (67.0%)	63%
29%	GF+GA over 2.5 (27.0%)	25%
29%	GF+GA over 3.5 (21.0%)	13%
14%	GF+GA over 4.5 (7.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
57%	Both teams scored (47.5%)	38%
71%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (73.0%)	75%
29%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (33.5%)	38%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.5%)	13%
71%	Over 7.5 total corners (60.5%)	50%
56%	Over 8.5 total corners (47.0%)	38%
28%	Over 9.5 total corners (33.0%)	38%
28%	Over 10.5 total corners (26.5%)	25%
0%	Over 11.5 total corners (6.5%)	13%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (0.0%)	0%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (0.0%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
1 (3)	Consecutive defeats	4 (5)
4 (3)	No win	5 (5)
1 (4)	No draw	4 (8)
0 (0)	No defeat	0 (0)
0(0)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	7(0)
1(1)	No goal scored	1(0)
1(1)	No goal conceded	0(1)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
2(3)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(0)

Opening goals



5/7 (71%)	Scored first, home/away	2/8 (25%)
10/16 (63%)	Scored first, overall	4/17 (24%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source13 matches27 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.92

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.08

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.15

Exp goals after