Match data

Value betting model

Nacional

2026/05/23 21:30

1:0

Albion

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Albion (Data-Driven Insight)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.56

PPG

1.81

Last 6 PPG

1.43

Home/away PPG

2.14

2.64

xG overall

2.74

2.67

Home/away xG overall

2.57

1.56

xG for per game

1.32

1.08

xG against per game

1.42

1.77

Home/away xG for per game

1.30

0.90

Home/away xG against per game

1.27

Last X

Home wins

(67%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(33%)

2026/05/03

3:2

2022/10/13

0:1

2022/05/21

2:0

League table

Group 1

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Peñarol	6	4	1	1	9	3	13	13	2.17^0.27	0.60	35.36^-26.36	24.33^21.33
2	Cerro Largo	5	2	2	1	6	2	1	8	1.33^0.08	0.65	24.89^-18.89	30.47^28.47
3	Central Español	5	2	2	1	4	3	2	8	1.83^0.23	0.62	24.25^-20.25	35.31^32.31
4	Racing	5	1	4	0	3	2	10	7	1.17^-0.73	0.60	32.18^-29.18	21.57^19.57
5	Cerro	5	2	0	3	4	8	-20	6	1.00^0.20	0.68	26.43^-22.43	29.39^21.39
6	Liverpool FC Montevideo	5	1	2	2	3	4	1	5	0.83^-0.42	0.65	27.93^-24.93	26.77^22.77
7	Boston River	6	1	2	3	5	9	-10	5	0.83^-0.22	0.66	26.47^-21.47	33.60^24.60
8	Defensor Sporting	5	0	3	2	3	6	-1	3	0.50^-0.70	0.65	29.32^-26.32	31.09^25.09
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Group 2

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Wanderers	6	3	3	0	10	4	1	12	2.00^0.48	0.63	28.85^-18.85	29.99^25.99
2	Deportivo Maldonado	6	3	2	1	12	6	14	11	1.83^-0.07	0.60	30.10^-18.10	26.35^20.35
3	Nacional	6	3	1	2	6	7	4	10	1.67^0.15	0.63	31.59^-25.59	21.52^14.52
4	Torque	5	3	0	2	10	9	7	9	2.00^0.40	0.62	29.40^-19.40	21.70^12.70
5	Juventud	6	2	1	3	8	11	-8	7	1.17^0.12	0.66	28.82^-20.82	30.45^19.45
6	Progreso	6	2	0	4	5	9	-15	6	1.00^0.24	0.68	24.48^-19.48	30.68^21.68
7	Albion	6	1	2	3	4	6	8	5	0.83^-0.74	0.63	25.61^-21.61	29.76^23.76
8	Danubio	5	0	3	2	3	6	-7	3	0.50^-0.55	0.66	24.92^-21.92	27.60^21.60
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	7
1.57	Avg goals for/against	1.14
0.71	Avg goals against/for	0.57
2.29	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.00)	1.71
71%	Scoring rate	43%
56%	Conceding rate	86%
43%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	57%
29%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	14%
43%	Scored in both halves (28.5%)	14%
43%	Scored first	57%
43%	Leading/Losing at half-time (43.0%)	43%
0%	Losing/Leading at half-time (7.0%)	14%
5.86	Avg corners for/against	4.71
2.86	Avg corners against/for	5.29
8.72	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.36)	10
7.29	Avg total cards (F+A) (6.21)	5.14
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (93.0%)	86%
71%	GF+GA over 1.5 (57.0%)	43%
43%	GF+GA over 2.5 (36.0%)	29%
14%	GF+GA over 3.5 (14.0%)	14%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (0.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
29%	Both teams scored (36.0%)	43%
57%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (71.5%)	86%
29%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (29.0%)	29%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
56%	Over 7.5 total corners (71.0%)	86%
43%	Over 8.5 total corners (64.5%)	86%
43%	Over 9.5 total corners (49.5%)	56%
28%	Over 10.5 total corners (28.0%)	28%
28%	Over 11.5 total corners (28.0%)	28%
28%	Over 12.5 total corners (21.0%)	14%
14%	Over 13.5 total corners (7.0%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (2)	Consecutive wins	3 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	0 (1)
6 (14)	No draw	3 (0)
1 (2)	No defeat	7 (10)
5(1)	1 goal scored or more	2(0)
2(1)	1 goal conceded or more	3(5)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(1)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
2(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
1(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



3/7 (43%)	Scored first, home/away	4/7 (57%)
7/16 (44%)	Scored first, overall	8/16 (50%)